← Singapore Regionals at Agora Hobby
Wind Crux LorraineTier 1
at Singapore Regionals at Agora Hobby
decks
5
(6.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
31
13-13-5
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.1%
avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1347
· median 1322
· range 1224–1532
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1087
Q1 1206
Q3 1410
1633
20% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 14.3% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 38.4% | -7.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 13.0% | 4 | 3-0-1 | 87.5% | 68.8% | 67.8% | +11.4 |
| Water Allies | 11.7% | 5 | 2-1-2 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 59.8% | +5.6 |
| Fire Erupting | 7.8% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 28.1% | -16.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 6.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.4% | +13.8 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.7% | -16.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.5% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.4 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 5.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.8% | +0.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rogue | 2.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 56.8% | +6.5 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.1 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.4 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.4 |
